UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men UMBC 1
  
UMBC                  
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 84.9620

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Delaware State Northeast ( 0-14, 69.3) 20- 5 215 H Howard (DC) Northeast ( 1-14, 70.5) 24- 4 219 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 1-15, 76.0) 18- 3 222 H American Patriot ( 5-11, 83.3) 13-10 226 N William & Mary Colonial ( 6-10, 84.5) 17-10 301 A Temple AAC ( 4-12, 85.2) 11- 9 305 H Delaware Colonial (10- 6, 87.9) 8-16 309 H Furman Big South (14- 4, 84.2) 13-11 314 H Bryant America East (11- 7, 85.8) 17- 9 321 A New Hampshire America East ( 2-13, 81.0) 20-11 329 A Binghamton America East ( 5-10, 83.6) 12-11 405 H Massachusetts-Lowell America East (11- 6, 85.4) 12-16 411 H Akron MAC (11- 7, 81.6) 22- 8 419 A Albany America East ( 9- 9, 86.4) 8-14 426 H Vermont America East ( 6- 9, 83.7) 14-18 502 A Bryant America East (11- 7, 85.8) 9-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Delaware State         20- 5      15    15           0.00
   215 H Howard (DC)            24- 4      20    15           0.00
   219 H La Salle               18- 3      15     9           0.00
   222 H American               13-10       3     2           0.92
   226 N William & Mary         17-10       7     0    ++     4.58
   301 A Temple                 11- 9       2    -1    +      2.69
   305 H Delaware                8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.53
   309 H Furman                 13-11       2     1           0.73
   314 H Bryant                 17- 9       8     0    ++     5.41
   321 A New Hampshire          20-11       9     4           1.46
   329 A Binghamton             12-11       1     1           0.10
   405 H Massachusetts-Lowell   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.05
   411 H Akron                  22- 8      14     4           1.15
   419 A Albany                  8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.13
   426 H Vermont                14-18      -4     2    --    -5.68
   502 A Bryant                  9-12      -3    -1          -1.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Massachusetts-Lowell   12-16      -4     0    --    -4.05
   426 H Vermont                14-18      -4     2    --    -5.68
   305 H Delaware                8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.53
   419 A Albany                  8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 N William & Mary         17-10       7     0    ++     4.58
   314 H Bryant                 17- 9       8     0    ++     5.41
   301 A Temple                 11- 9       2    -1    +      2.69

UMBC Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron UMBC UMBC  
Albany Albany Albany  
American UMBC UMBC  
Arizona State Arizona State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arizona State
Army Army tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Army
Binghamton UMBC UMBC  
Boston College Boston College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston College
Boston University Boston University tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Boston University
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) Brown
Bryant Bryant Bryant   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Bucknell UMBC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMBC
Butler UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
California California   California
Campbell UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) UMBC
Canisius UMBC   UMBC
Central Connecticut UMBC tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) UMBC
Central Michigan UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clemson
Coastal Carolina UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Colgate Colgate tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Colgate
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Columbia UMBC   UMBC
Connecticut Connecticut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Connecticut
Cornell Cornell tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Davidson
Delaware Delaware Delaware  
Delaware State UMBC UMBC  
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) UMBC
Drexel Drexel insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Drexel
Duke Duke   Duke
Duquesne UMBC tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) UMBC
East Carolina East Carolina tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) East Carolina
Eastern Michigan UMBC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMBC
Elon Elon tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Elon
Fairfield Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson UMBC tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) UMBC
Florida Florida   Florida
Furman UMBC UMBC  
Gardner Webb UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
George Mason UMBC insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) UMBC
George Washington UMBC insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) UMBC
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Georgetown
Harvard Harvard insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Harvard
High Point High Point insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) High Point
Hofstra Hofstra tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Holy Cross
Howard (DC) UMBC UMBC  
Iona UMBC   UMBC
Jacksonville Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins   Johns Hopkins
Kennesaw State UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Kent State UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
La Salle UMBC UMBC  
Lafayette UMBC tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) UMBC
Le Moyne UMBC tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) UMBC
Lehigh UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) UMBC
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Liberty
Lindenwood UMBC tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) UMBC
LIU UMBC insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3) UMBC
Longwood UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Marist UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) UMBC
Marquette Marquette   Marquette
Maryland Maryland   Maryland
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell Massachusetts-Lowell  
Mercer Mercer insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercer
Mercyhurst UMBC insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) UMBC
Merrimack UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Michigan Michigan   Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) UMBC UMBC   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Mount St Marys UMBC tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) UMBC
Navy Navy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Navy
New Hampshire UMBC UMBC  
Niagara UMBC   UMBC
North Carolina North Carolina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern   Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ohio State
Old Dominion UMBC UMBC   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Oregon UMBC   UMBC
Penn Penn tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Penn
Penn State Penn State   Penn State
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian UMBC UMBC   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Queens UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Quinnipiac UMBC tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) UMBC
Radford UMBC UMBC   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Rhode Island UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) UMBC
Richmond Richmond tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Richmond
Rider UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) UMBC
Robert Morris UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) UMBC
Rutgers Rutgers insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Rutgers
Sacred Heart UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) UMBC
San Diego State UMBC   UMBC
Siena UMBC tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) UMBC
South Florida South Florida tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Florida
Southern California Southern California   Southern California
St Bonaventure St Bonaventure tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Bonaventure
St Francis UMBC insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) UMBC
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA) tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Stetson UMBC   UMBC
Stonehill UMBC tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) UMBC
Stony Brook Stony Brook Stony Brook   5- 0 vs 2- 4
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Temple UMBC UMBC  
Towson Towson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Towson
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UNC-Charlotte UMBC UMBC   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vanderbilt
VCU UMBC insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) UMBC
Vermont Vermont Vermont  
Villanova Villanova tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech   Virginia Tech
Wagner UMBC tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) UMBC
William & Mary UMBC UMBC  
Winthrop UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Wofford UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Xavier UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC
Yale Yale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Yale
Youngstown State UMBC insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) UMBC

PowerWise = 63


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.82

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Delaware State  ( 0-14, 69.3)    20- 5      -30.56       1.00       0.46         1.05             1.54
   0 H Howard (DC)     ( 1-14, 70.5)    24- 4      -29.41       1.15      -0.46         1.05             0.72
   0 H La Salle        ( 1-15, 76.0)    18- 3      -23.90       6.65      -0.46         1.05             6.51
   0 H American        ( 5-11, 83.3)    13-10      -16.55      14.00      -0.46         1.05            14.24
   0 N William & Mary  ( 6-10, 84.5)    17-10      -15.35      15.20      -0.00         1.05            15.98
   0 A Temple          ( 4-12, 85.2)    11- 9      -14.71      15.84       0.46         1.05            17.15
   0 H Delaware        (10- 6, 87.9)     8-16      -12.00      18.55      -0.46         1.05           -13.11
   0 H Furman          (14- 4, 84.2)    13-11      -15.74      14.81      -0.46         1.05            15.09
   0 H Bryant          (11- 7, 85.8)    17- 9      -14.07      16.49      -0.46         1.05            16.85
   0 A New Hampshire   ( 2-13, 81.0)    20-11      -18.94      11.62       0.46         1.05            12.70
   0 A Binghamton      ( 5-10, 83.6)    12-11      -16.30      14.25       0.46         1.05            15.48
   0 H Massachusetts-  (11- 6, 85.4)    12-16      -14.53      16.03      -0.46         1.05           -15.76
   0 H Akron           (11- 7, 81.6)    22- 8      -18.32      12.23      -0.46         1.05            12.38
   0 A Albany          ( 9- 9, 86.4)     8-14      -13.53      17.03       0.46         1.05           -13.74
   0 H Vermont         ( 6- 9, 83.7)    14-18      -16.16      14.40      -0.46         1.05           -17.48
   0 A Bryant          (11- 7, 85.8)     9-12      -14.07      16.49       0.46         1.05           -14.31
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        54.25

winning pts = 128.6345 losing points = -74.3860

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------